American-Made Challenges

 5,039

Solar Forecasting Prize

Enabling solar industry stakeholders with state-of-the-art solar forecasting capabilities

This challenge is closed

stage:
Submission Deadline
prize:
$375,000

This challenge is closed

Overview

Challenge Overview

The American-Made Solar Forecasting Prize is designed to better enable solar industry stakeholders with state-of-the-art solar forecasting capabilities. Sponsored by the U.S. Department of Energy Solar Energy Technologies Office, this prize aims to increase the use of the Solar Forecast Arbiter, an open platform developed by the University of Arizona, to allow for the transparent, rigorous, and consistent analysis and evaluation of solar forecasts.

Increasing Awareness of State-of-the-Art Solar Forecasting

Probabilistic forecasts are being recognized as a critical tool for cost-effective reserve allocation and unit scheduling. Considering a future with high-penetration weather-bound renewable energy generation is becoming increasingly important. But today, deployment and integration of these forecasts into energy management systems has not been widely adopted. 

Additionally, independent system operators agree that solar forecasting is an important part of system operations, and forecasting becomes even more important as the fraction of variable weather-dependent generation increases.

 

The Solar Forecasting Prize aims to address this by:

  • Increasing stakeholder awareness of the state of the art in solar forecasting.
  • Incentivizing the participation of a broad range of competitors from the solar forecasting industry and research and development space.
  • Growing industry knowledge of the Solar Forecast Arbiter (SFA) platform and its potential.
  • Promoting the adoption of uniform and transparent metrics and specifications for solar forecasts using SFA (or similar platforms) by forecast end-users.
  • Identifying algorithms that perform better than a baseline probabilistic forecast.

Earn Cash Prizes for Successful Solar Forecasting

Up to five teams will win $50,000 each in cash prizes for showcasing the best performing algorithm and the strongest commercialization plan. 

Five runner-up teams will also have the chance to earn $25,000 in cash prizes.

What Is the Solar Forecast Arbiter? 

The Solar Forecast Arbiter (SFA) is an open forecasting platform developed by the University of Arizona. It allows for the transparent, rigorous, and consistent analysis and evaluation of solar forecasts by end-users. 

 

Solar Forecasting Site List

More information regarding the anticipated site list can be found under the Resources tab: https://www.herox.com/SolarForecasting/resource/836 

 

Site

Network

Kona, Hawaii

NREL MIDC

Seattle, Washington

NOAA SOLRAD

Hanford, California

NOAA SOLRAD

Salt Lake City, Utah

NOAA SOLRAD

Table Mountain Boulder, Colorado

NOAA SURFRAD

Goodwin Creek, Mississippi

NOAA SURFRAD

Bondville, Illinois

NOAA SURFRAD

Titusville, Florida

NOAA USCRN

Sterling, Virginia

NOAA SOLRAD

Millbrook, New York

NOAA USCRN

 

Guidelines

Challenge Guidelines

Please review the official rules for the complete application process and instructions for competing.

If you want to subscribe to updates on the prize or have any questions, you may use the contact feature on the HeroX platform, or message us directly.

 

Timeline
Updates 12

Challenge Updates

Last Chance to Register for the Solar Forecasting Prize

Jan. 11, 2022, 8 a.m. PST by NREL Challenge

Tomorrow is the Solar Forecasting registration deadline! Make sure you register yourself or your team by 5 p.m. ET to compete.

This is your chance to earn up to $50,000 in cash prizes for increasing stakeholder awareness of state-of-the-art solar forecasting and boosting industry knowledge of the Solar Forecast Arbiter platform! Up to five winners will earn $50,000 in cash prizes, while up to five runners-up will receive $25,000. 

All you have to do to join the competition is register yourself or your team on HeroX by 5 p.m. ET tomorrow. The prize administrators highly encourage you to register now so you don’t forget. 

We can’t wait to see the breakthrough ideas you come up with! 


One Week Left to Register for the Solar Forecasting Prize

Jan. 5, 2022, 8 a.m. PST by NREL Challenge

The countdown starts now! Only one week left to register for the Solar Forecasting Prize. 

This is your chance to better enable solar industry stakeholders with state-of-the-art forecasting capabilities and win cash prizes. When you register, you will have the opportunity to win up to $50,000 in cash prizes for showcasing the best performing algorithm and the strongest commercialization plan.

Registration is easy:

1. Go to https://www.herox.com/SolarForecasting

2. Click the “Solve This Challenge” button 

3. Sign-in or create a HeroX account 

4. Follow prompts and answer all questions

5.  Confirm receipt of your Solar Forecasting Prize registration by Jan. 12.

The prize administrators recommend registering your team in advance of the Jan. 12 deadline of 5 p.m. ET. Register your team now!

 


Registration Deadline Extended!

Dec. 14, 2021, 1:45 p.m. PST by NREL Challenge

The Solar Forecasting Prize registration deadline has been extended to Jan. 12, 2022. Register yourself or your team to secure your spot in the competition.

As a reminder, all you have to do by the registration deadline is register your team on HeroX. This prize does not require any submission elements to be completed by the registration deadline. After registering in HeroX, your next step is to create an account on the Solar Forecast Arbiter (SFA) platform using the same email you used on HeroX. 

In addition, the following prize deadlines have been extended:

  • Signed Data Use Agreement submission deadline: Feb. 7, 2022
  • Forecast evaluation period: Feb. 14 – March 13, 2022
  • Commercialization submission: March 14, 2022

Have a question? Review the official rules and use the Hero X forum to post a public question.

Don’t wait until the last minute! Register yourself or your team today to get started in the Solar Forecasting Prize!


Last Chance to Register for the Solar Forecasting Prize

Dec. 10, 2021, 9 a.m. PST by NREL Challenge

T-minus 5 days to register for the Solar Forecasting Prize! Sign up on your own or as a team to accept the challenge, by Dec. 15. 

You’ll help increase stakeholder awareness of the state-of-the-art solar forecasting and increase industry knowledge of the Solar Forecast Arbiter platform and its potential. 

Have a question? Review the official rules and stream the recording for instructions on what to submit. For additional questions email .


Don’t Forget to Register for the Solar Forecasting Prize

Dec. 6, 2021, 9 a.m. PST by NREL Challenge

Less than 10 days left to register for the Solar Forecasting Prize! Don’t forget to sign-up and you’ll have the chance to win $50,000 in cash prizes for showcasing the best performing algorithm with the strongest commercialization plan, while five runner-up teams will also have the chance to earn $25,000 in cash prizes.

 

Have a question about the prize? Don’t forget to review the official rules and stream the recording for instructions on what to submit. For additional questions, use the Hero X forum to post a public question or email .

 


Forum 4
Teams 186
Resources
FAQ

Frequently Asked Questions

Yes, but it’s quick and easy. Just click the “Solve this Challenge” button on this page and follow the instructions to complete your registration. All you need to provide is your name and email address.

If you have a question not answered in the FAQ, we recommend that you post it in the Forum where someone will respond to you. This way, others who may have the same question will be able to see it.

No, if you are a contest winner you are receiving the prize for meeting or exceeding the contest goals. 

Innovation is about making ideas happen. The American-Made Network will accelerate and sustain innovation through a diverse and powerful network that includes national laboratories, energy incubators, facilities, and other valuable industry partners from across the U.S. who will engage, connect, mentor, and boost the efforts of AMC competitors.

See who is in the network.

Connectors are the core component of the American-Made Network and are organizations that seek to support the efforts of competitors in AMC Challenges. Use this link to explore the Network to find potential partners and develop relationships.

https://americanmadechallenges.org/network

If you encounter an issue when attempting to submit an entry to the challenge, you may need to contact HeroX or the Prize Administrator.

You may try to connect with HeroX using the online form which appears in the bottom right corner of your browser window, it says Leave a Message.

You may also send a message to the Prize Administrator inbox at  

Please allow at least 1 business day for a response.

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) is the Prize Administrator for the American-Made Challenges. In this capacity NREL works closely with the U.S. Department of Energy to administer the challenges, maintain the website platform, assist in building the network, and pay prize money to the winning teams.

All of your files are uploaded as part of the submission form, access this by clicking the Begin Entry button.  The submission form contains an upload option for each of the required file entries.  Only PDF files will be accepted for upload.

The Solar Forecast Arbiter (SFA) is an open forecasting platform developed by the University of Arizona. It allows for the transparent, rigorous, and consistent analysis and evaluation of solar forecasts by end-users. 

Competitors competing in American Made Challenges retain their own intellectual property. DOE has no intention of gaining rights to any underlying inventions discussed in your submission materials or that you may develop in furtherance of competing in this prize.