American-Made Challenges

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Solar Forecasting Prize

Enabling solar industry stakeholders with state-of-the-art solar forecasting capabilities

This challenge is closed

stage:
Submission Deadline
prize:
$375,000

This challenge is closed

Overview

Challenge Overview

The American-Made Solar Forecasting Prize is designed to better enable solar industry stakeholders with state-of-the-art solar forecasting capabilities. Sponsored by the U.S. Department of Energy Solar Energy Technologies Office, this prize aims to increase the use of the Solar Forecast Arbiter, an open platform developed by the University of Arizona, to allow for the transparent, rigorous, and consistent analysis and evaluation of solar forecasts.

Increasing Awareness of State-of-the-Art Solar Forecasting

Probabilistic forecasts are being recognized as a critical tool for cost-effective reserve allocation and unit scheduling. Considering a future with high-penetration weather-bound renewable energy generation is becoming increasingly important. But today, deployment and integration of these forecasts into energy management systems has not been widely adopted. 

Additionally, independent system operators agree that solar forecasting is an important part of system operations, and forecasting becomes even more important as the fraction of variable weather-dependent generation increases.

 

The Solar Forecasting Prize aims to address this by:

  • Increasing stakeholder awareness of the state of the art in solar forecasting.
  • Incentivizing the participation of a broad range of competitors from the solar forecasting industry and research and development space.
  • Growing industry knowledge of the Solar Forecast Arbiter (SFA) platform and its potential.
  • Promoting the adoption of uniform and transparent metrics and specifications for solar forecasts using SFA (or similar platforms) by forecast end-users.
  • Identifying algorithms that perform better than a baseline probabilistic forecast.

Earn Cash Prizes for Successful Solar Forecasting

Up to five teams will win $50,000 each in cash prizes for showcasing the best performing algorithm and the strongest commercialization plan. 

Five runner-up teams will also have the chance to earn $25,000 in cash prizes.

What Is the Solar Forecast Arbiter? 

The Solar Forecast Arbiter (SFA) is an open forecasting platform developed by the University of Arizona. It allows for the transparent, rigorous, and consistent analysis and evaluation of solar forecasts by end-users. 

 

Solar Forecasting Site List

More information regarding the anticipated site list can be found under the Resources tab: https://www.herox.com/SolarForecasting/resource/836 

 

Site

Network

Kona, Hawaii

NREL MIDC

Seattle, Washington

NOAA SOLRAD

Hanford, California

NOAA SOLRAD

Salt Lake City, Utah

NOAA SOLRAD

Table Mountain Boulder, Colorado

NOAA SURFRAD

Goodwin Creek, Mississippi

NOAA SURFRAD

Bondville, Illinois

NOAA SURFRAD

Titusville, Florida

NOAA USCRN

Sterling, Virginia

NOAA SOLRAD

Millbrook, New York

NOAA USCRN

 

Guidelines

Challenge Guidelines

Please review the official rules for the complete application process and instructions for competing.

If you want to subscribe to updates on the prize or have any questions, you may use the contact feature on the HeroX platform, or message us directly.

 

Timeline
Updates 12

Challenge Updates

Last Chance to Register for the Solar Forecasting Prize

Jan. 11, 2022, 8 a.m. PST by NREL Challenge

Tomorrow is the Solar Forecasting registration deadline! Make sure you register yourself or your team by 5 p.m. ET to compete.

This is your chance to earn up to $50,000 in cash prizes for increasing stakeholder awareness of state-of-the-art solar forecasting and boosting industry knowledge of the Solar Forecast Arbiter platform! Up to five winners will earn $50,000 in cash prizes, while up to five runners-up will receive $25,000. 

All you have to do to join the competition is register yourself or your team on HeroX by 5 p.m. ET tomorrow. The prize administrators highly encourage you to register now so you don’t forget. 

We can’t wait to see the breakthrough ideas you come up with! 


One Week Left to Register for the Solar Forecasting Prize

Jan. 5, 2022, 8 a.m. PST by NREL Challenge

The countdown starts now! Only one week left to register for the Solar Forecasting Prize. 

This is your chance to better enable solar industry stakeholders with state-of-the-art forecasting capabilities and win cash prizes. When you register, you will have the opportunity to win up to $50,000 in cash prizes for showcasing the best performing algorithm and the strongest commercialization plan.

Registration is easy:

1. Go to https://www.herox.com/SolarForecasting

2. Click the “Solve This Challenge” button 

3. Sign-in or create a HeroX account 

4. Follow prompts and answer all questions

5.  Confirm receipt of your Solar Forecasting Prize registration by Jan. 12.

The prize administrators recommend registering your team in advance of the Jan. 12 deadline of 5 p.m. ET. Register your team now!

 


Registration Deadline Extended!

Dec. 14, 2021, 1:45 p.m. PST by NREL Challenge

The Solar Forecasting Prize registration deadline has been extended to Jan. 12, 2022. Register yourself or your team to secure your spot in the competition.

As a reminder, all you have to do by the registration deadline is register your team on HeroX. This prize does not require any submission elements to be completed by the registration deadline. After registering in HeroX, your next step is to create an account on the Solar Forecast Arbiter (SFA) platform using the same email you used on HeroX. 

In addition, the following prize deadlines have been extended:

  • Signed Data Use Agreement submission deadline: Feb. 7, 2022
  • Forecast evaluation period: Feb. 14 – March 13, 2022
  • Commercialization submission: March 14, 2022

Have a question? Review the official rules and use the Hero X forum to post a public question.

Don’t wait until the last minute! Register yourself or your team today to get started in the Solar Forecasting Prize!


Last Chance to Register for the Solar Forecasting Prize

Dec. 10, 2021, 9 a.m. PST by NREL Challenge

T-minus 5 days to register for the Solar Forecasting Prize! Sign up on your own or as a team to accept the challenge, by Dec. 15. 

You’ll help increase stakeholder awareness of the state-of-the-art solar forecasting and increase industry knowledge of the Solar Forecast Arbiter platform and its potential. 

Have a question? Review the official rules and stream the recording for instructions on what to submit. For additional questions email .


Don’t Forget to Register for the Solar Forecasting Prize

Dec. 6, 2021, 9 a.m. PST by NREL Challenge

Less than 10 days left to register for the Solar Forecasting Prize! Don’t forget to sign-up and you’ll have the chance to win $50,000 in cash prizes for showcasing the best performing algorithm with the strongest commercialization plan, while five runner-up teams will also have the chance to earn $25,000 in cash prizes.

 

Have a question about the prize? Don’t forget to review the official rules and stream the recording for instructions on what to submit. For additional questions, use the Hero X forum to post a public question or email .

 


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